Prepay the mortgage or invest the difference?
A homeowning family, 42 — San Jose, CA, USA
The situation
A $540,000 mortgage balance at 6.1%, with $1,500/month in discretionary cash that could go toward extra principal payments or into a taxable brokerage account instead — the kind of decision usually settled by gut feeling rather than the actual numbers.
The approach
Compared the mortgage's guaranteed, risk-free "return" (avoiding 6.1% in interest) against a taxable investment scenario at a more conservative assumed long-term return, accounting for the mortgage-interest deduction cap and the fact that investment returns aren't guaranteed the way a payoff is.
The outcome
Given the mortgage rate was close to the conservative-case investment assumption, split the difference — an extra $700/month to principal, $800/month invested — rather than an all-or-nothing choice, reducing loan term by several years while still building a taxable investment position.
Tools used
- Home Loan Prepayment calculator
- Compare Lab